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Contre toute attente, l’AKP a obtenu la majorité absolue aux élections législatives anticipées, faisant un retour spectaculaire après les résultats mitigés du 7 juin dernier qui avaient sanctionné la dérive autoritaire de Recep Tayyip Erdogan et vu l’essor du HDP kurde. Erdogan en profitera-t-il pour instaurer le régime présidentiel fort qu’il appelle de ses vœux ?

in The Carnegie Endowment for International Peace Publié en 2016-06-21
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Four eminent Turkish experts from journalism, academia, and the think tank world give their views on whether a change in Turkey’s Syria policy is likely and what it might look like.

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President Aliyev won reelection with more than 85 percent of the polls, while the opposition candidate, Jamil Hansali, supported by an unprecedented unified opposition front, got only 5 percent in these elections which parodied democracy and pluralism...

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Putin’s gambit in Ukraine will certainly give him prestige in his country and a strategic advantage in the Black Sea, but it could weaken Russia’s position in the rest of the former Soviet empire.

in World Policy Blog Publié en 2014-04-01
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The political battle between the AKP and their former-ally turned competitor Fethullah Gülen has had severe consequences for Turkish democracy.

in Eurasia Outlook - Carnegie Moscow Center Publié en 2014-07-25
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Following the end of the Soviet Union, a couple of Islamic organizations emerged in the Uzbek city of Namangan in the Fergana Valley, like Islam Lashkarlari (Islam’s solders) or Adolat (Justice). Repressed by the new Uzbek regime, some of them managed to escape and join the United Uzbek Opposition in neighboring Tajikistan...

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Although Ankara tries to have balanced relations with Azerbaijan, Georgia, and Armenia, Turkey’s policy in the South Caucasus is primarily determined by its relations with Azerbaijan, who is the best ally and economic partner for Ankara.

in Eurasia Outlook - Carnegie Moscow Center Publié en 2014-04-09
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Because of the political turmoil in which Turkey finds itself and because of the general defiance against Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and his government, last week’s local elections turned into a plebiscite vote for Erdoğan. Less than a week after the vote, he paid a visit to Azerbaijan. Whether scheduled or not, it underlines the importance of the Turkish-Azeri relations especially in terms of political, economic and security issues...

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En accueillant trois des cinq millions de personnes ayant fui la Syrie, la Turquie fait figure de pays modèle. Pourtant, cet afflux n’est pas sans poser de graves problèmes dans le pays d’accueil. Et Ankara a décidé de monnayer cette carte des réfugiés dans ses relations avec l’Union européenne.

in Silk Road Reporters Publié en 2015-04-17
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The recent Iran and P5+1 agreement over a nuclear deal draft is a major game changer for the whole Middle Eastern region. If this deal is confirmed next June – and there are plenty of reasons to be optimistic – it will pave the way for Iran’s reintegration into the international community. The geopolitical consequences of such a comeback will be tremendous for the whole of the Middle East, and might precipitate a complete transformation of the power structure there...

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