Type
Article
Titre
Good times, bad times : Taxation and electoral accountability
Dans
Electoral Studies
Auteur(s)
FOUCAULT Martial - Centre de Recherches Politiques de Sciences Po (Auteur)
SEKI Katsunori - University of Mannheim (Auteur)
WHITTEN Guy - University of Texas at Austin (Auteur)
Éditeur
GB : Butterworths Scientific Publications
Volume
45
Numéro
1
Pages
191 - 200 p.
ISSN
02613794
DOI
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2016.10.003
Mots clés
Taxation, Election, Economic policy
Résumé
EN
In this article we address two important and related questions. First, do economic hard times make defeat inevitable for any incumbent? And, second, do voters sanction incumbents for a poor economy whatever the economic policy pursued? To answer these questions, we propose a new theory about the ways in which taxation policies, clarity of responsibility, government ideology, and economic conditions come together to shape election outcomes. We address these questions with a new set of data collected on elections, government policies, and economic measures before and during the current economic crisis. Our findings indicate that taxation policies have effects on incumbent electoral patterns net of economic performance measures, but that these effects differ in theoretically-expected fashions depending on clarity of responsibility, government ideology, and whether or not there has been a recession in the year before an election is held.

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