Type
Article
Titre
Of Ants and Voters : Maximum Entropy Prediction of Agent-Based Models with Recruitment
Dans
Revue de l'OFCE - Analyse et prévisions
Numéro
124
Pages
147 - 175 p.
ISSN
12659576
DOI
10.3917/reof.124.0147
Mots clés
information entropy, agent based models, voters models
Résumé
EN
Maximum entropy predictions are made for the Kirman ant model as well as the Abrams-Strogatz model of language competition, also known as the voter model. In both cases the maximum entropy methodology provides good predictions of the limiting distribution of states, as was already the case for the Schelling model of segregation. An additional contribution, the analysis of the models reveals the key role played by relative entropy and the model in controlling the time horizon of the prediction.

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